Sunday, October 11, 2020

With Three Weeks Left, It's Biden By 12

A Washington Post / ABC News poll released today indicates that former VP Joe Biden is maintaining a durable, double-digit lead over racist demagogue and mentally unstable virus spreader Donald "COVID Donnie" Trump by a margin of 54 - 42. The poll was taken October 6 - 9 on a random sample of 1,014 adults including both registered and likely voters.

The internal crosscuts spell particular trouble for COVID Donnie, with significant erosion of his support from 2016:

"Biden holds a 23-point advantage among female likely voters (59 percent to 36 percent), while Trump and Biden split men, 48 percent each. If those figures hold, both would represent a shift from 2016, when men backed Trump by 11 points and women favored Hillary Clinton by 13 points.

Trump leads by 26 points among White voters without four-year college degrees, which is smaller than his 36-point advantage in 2016, according to a Pew survey of confirmed voters. Biden holds a 31-point lead with White college graduates, which is much better than Clinton’s performance among this group. (Estimates range from plus-17 in Pew data to essentially even in other sources.)

Preferences among independent voters appear to have shifted considerably compared with 2016, with independent voters favoring Biden by 52 percent to 40 percent. By contrast, Trump beat Clinton among self-identified independent voters by four points, according to 2016 network exit polls."

We expect the White (Supremacist) House staff to keep this latest poll away from COVID Donnie, lest he have an eruption of 'roid rage and a relapse.

Before we pop the champagne, this is a reminder that the only "poll" that counts is YOUR VOTE. Too many people sat out the election in 2016, assuming that Hillary would win. Never make that sort of assumption again. Just ask President Hillary Clinton.