From historian Kevin Kruse:
"No, it won't."— Kevin M. Kruse (@KevinMKruse) November 30, 2018
In two major developments this week, President Trump has been labeled in the parlance of criminal investigations as a major subject of interest, complete with an opaque legal code name: “Individual 1.”
New evidence from two separate fronts of special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s investigation casts fresh doubts on Trump’s version of key events involving Russia, signaling potential political and legal peril for the president. Investigators have now publicly cast Trump as a central figure of their probe into whether Trump’s campaign conspired with the Russian government during the 2016 campaign.
Together, the documents show investigators have evidence that Trump was in close contact with his lieutenants as they made outreach to both Russia and WikiLeaks — and that they tried to conceal the extent of their activities.Meanwhile, the beyond- odious Republican Senate leader Mitch "Missy" McConnell refuses to allow a bill that would aim to protect the Special Counsel's investigation come to the floor for a vote. For the entirety of his "presidency," Republican leaders like McConnell and Sneaker of the House Paul "Lyin'" Ryan have enabled this cancer to assault the foundations of our system of government, to abuse power and destroy America's image and credibility in the world for what amounts to 30 pieces of silver. They had the same eyes and ears the rest of us have to witness the ugliness of their unfit leader yet chose to back him up and indulge him at every turn. They're every bit the un- indicted co-conspirators in Rump's rule of graft, greed, treason and criminality.
|("We've got Trump in our pockets!")|
Putin bro-fives MBS pic.twitter.com/5ojFO9m5aC— Saagar Enjeti (@esaagar) November 30, 2018
A group in the District is sending an international message related to the murder of journalist and Washington Post columnist, Jamal Khashoggi.
During a meeting Wednesday, Advisory Neighborhood Commission 2A, which represents the Foggy Bottom and West End neighborhoods, voted to rename a section of street outside the Saudi Embassy “Jamal Khashoggi Way.”The name change is pending approval by the D.C. City Council. Do it.
Scientists & engineers launched “InSight” from Earth (a moving platform) across 300million miles to arrive where Mars (a moving target) will be seven months later, landing safely to do geophysics at the Martian equator. And you have a problem listening to us about climate change? pic.twitter.com/a6gx3jmM2z— Neil deGrasse Tyson (@neiltyson) November 29, 2018
Here's Trump's public schedule today. (Public schedules don't include all of a president's activities.) pic.twitter.com/s33yx2XITU— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 28, 2018
The president's morning on Twitter:— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 28, 2018
- Retweeted call to imprison his deputy attorney general and various former officials for treason
- Retweeted a fake Mike Pence
- Retweeted a lie about assistance for illegal immigrants
- Retweeted dishonest criticism of a Hillary Clinton joke
Today @CBSNews challenged @realDonaldTrump about his reax to @60Minutes investigation on controversial child separation policy. pic.twitter.com/ov9GZxRcDp— Paula Reid (@PaulaReidCBS) November 27, 2018
I recommend she take a tour of the Holocaust Museum in DC.— Lindsey Graham (@LindseyGrahamSC) November 26, 2018
Might help her better understand the differences between the Holocaust and the caravan in Tijuana. https://t.co/05vCexiClE
.@LindseyGrahamSC, the point of such a treasured museum is to bring its lessons to present day.— Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (@Ocasio2018) November 27, 2018
This administration has jailed children and violated human rights. Perhaps we should stop pretending that authoritarianism + violence is a historical event instead of a growing force. https://t.co/aGJMrPTqNT
When we look at Auschwitz we see the end of the process. It's important to remember that the Holocaust actually did not start from gas chambers. This hatred gradually developed from words, stereotypes & prejudice through legal exclusion, dehumanisation & escalating violence.— Auschwitz Memorial (@AuschwitzMuseum) November 26, 2018
Sol 0: Instrument Deployment Camera (IDC)
NASA's InSight Mars lander acquired this image using its robotic arm-mounted, Instrument Deployment Camera (IDC).
This image was acquired on November 26, 2018, Sol 0 where the local mean solar time for the image exposures was 14:04:35. Each IDC image has a field of view of 45 x 45 degrees.
Image Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech
InSight, short for Interior Exploration using Seismic Investigations, Geodesy and Heat Transport, is a Mars lander designed to give the Red Planet its first thorough checkup since it formed 4.5 billion years ago. It is the first outer space robotic explorer to study in-depth the "inner space" of Mars: its crust, mantle, and core.Just when you despair of scientific and human advancement in the Age of Trump, something like this comes along. (h/t Infidel 753 for the mission link)
Now, it is true that Trump can pardon Manafort (though that probably won’t happen right away). That’s the only sane explanation for Manafort doing what he did, that he is still certain he’ll be pardoned. But many of these charges can still be charged in state court.
Just about the only explanation for Manafort’s actions are that — as I suggested — Trump was happy to have Manafort serve as a mole in Mueller’s investigation.
But Mueller’s team appears to have no doubt that Manafort was lying to them. That means they didn’t really need his testimony, at all. It also means they had no need to keep secrets — they could keep giving Manafort the impression that he was pulling a fast one over the prosecutors, all while reporting misleading information to Trump that he could use to fill out his open book test. Which increases the likelihood that Trump just submitted sworn answers to those questions full of lies.
And that “detailed sentencing submission … sett[ing] forth the nature of the defendant’s crimes and lies” that Mueller mentions in the report?
There’s your Mueller report, which will be provided in a form that Matt Whitaker won’t be able to suppress. (Reminder: Mueller included 38 pages of evidence along with Manafort’s plea agreement, which I argued showed how what Manafort and Trump did to Hillary was the same thing that Manafort had done to Yulia Tymoshenko.) (our emphasis)Here's the Special Counsel's filing on Manafort (pdf). Here's a quick review of Manafort's legal history with the Special Counsel.
Donald Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort held secret talks with Julian Assange inside the Ecuadorian embassy in London, and visited around the time he joined Trump’s campaign, the Guardian has been told.
Sources have said Manafort went to see Assange in 2013, 2015 and in spring 2016 – during the period when he was made a key figure in Trump’s push for the White House.
It is unclear why Manafort wanted to see Assange and what was discussed. But the last meeting is likely to come under scrutiny and could interest Robert Mueller, the special prosecutor who is investigating alleged collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia.
A well-placed source has told the Guardian that Manafort went to see Assange around March 2016. Months later WikiLeaks released a stash of Democratic emails stolen by Russian intelligence officers.This would be another confirmation of the validity of the Steele dossier:
According to the dossier written by the former MI6 officer Christopher Steele, Manafort was at the centre of a “well-developed conspiracy of cooperation” between the Trump campaign and Russia’s leadership. The two sides had a mutual interest in defeating Clinton, Steele wrote, whom Putin “hated and feared”.
In a memo written soon after the DNC emails were published, Steele said: “The [hacking] operation had been conducted with the full knowledge and support of Trump and senior members of his campaign team.”Boom!
...[T]he Democratic lead in the U.S. House popular vote is up to 8.1%, and it may yet inch higher. For comparison purposes, note that in 2010 – which was widely seen as a GOP “wave” cycle – Republicans won the U.S. House popular vote by 6.6%. In 1994, which was seen as a Republican “revolution,” the GOP won the U.S. House popular vote by 7.1%.270towin.com, with one House race (CA-21) still uncalled:
Overall, Democrats have won 234 seats, Republicans 200. That's a net gain of 39 for Democrats.
General Motors will lay off 14,700 factory and white-collar workers in North America and put five plants up for possible closure as it restructures to cut costs and focus more on autonomous and electric vehicles.
The reduction includes 8,100 white-collar workers, some of whom will take buyouts and others who will be laid off. Most of the affected factories build cars that won’t be sold in the U.S. after next year. They could close or they could get different vehicles to build. They will be part of contract talks with the United Auto Workers union next year.
Plants without products include assembly plants in Detroit; Lordstown, Ohio; and Oshawa, Ontario. Also affected are transmission factories in Warren, Michigan, as well as Baltimore.
About 6,000 factory workers could lose jobs in the U.S. and Canada, although some could transfer to truck plants.GM says among the "headwinds" facing the company are the tariffs on imported steel imposed by the Trump regime earlier this year. The steel tariffs have also caused Ford Motor Company last October to look to layoffs, in part to ameliorate the tariffs' negative effects. A lot of workers trusted Trump's bald- faced lies about saving manufacturing and coal jobs. Now the reality (assisted by his boneheaded tariffs) is maybe sinking in, albeit two years too late.
Trumbull County, Ohio, shifted 30 points to vote Trump. It didn’t save its car plant. https://t.co/gzuaBBGexw— Post Politics (@postpolitics) November 26, 2018
Apparently the President has no comment about how his policies have led to the loss of 15,000 jobs in states he needs to get reelected.— emptywheel (@emptywheel) November 26, 2018
Meanwhile, U.S. Steel still isn't opening the 6-8 new plants that Trump repeatedly & falsely claims it is.— Jackie Calmes (@jackiekcalmes) November 26, 2018
While I continue to use the word "lie" sparingly, these are lies he tells to working class Americans who most believe/support him. Coal mines aren't coming back either. https://t.co/RBrssS8PHD
The past week has shown that those who feared Trump’s despotic inclinations were neither deluded nor alarmist. His shameful indifference to the killing and dismembering of the Saudi journalist and Post contributor Jamal Khashoggi was an act of cold collaboration with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s coverup. [snip]
On the same day Trump was standing in solidarity with a regime implicated in assassination, the New York Times reported that the president told White House counsel Donald McGahn this spring that he wanted to order the Justice Department to prosecute Hillary Clinton and former FBI director James B. Comey.
McGahn held Trump off, but nothing could be more autocratic than proposing to corrupt the criminal-justice system by weaponizing it against political opponents.Karen Tumulty focuses on the appointment of Rump stooge Matthew Whitaker as "Acting Attorney General following the revelations about Rump wanting to prosecute Clinton and Comey:
The presidency is an institution invested with enormous power and enormous leeway for how to use that power. Trump’s two years in office have revealed how few legal and political tools there are for curbing a chief executive who does not feel constrained by norms — or, for that matter, by shame, ethical standards or fear of public backlash.
Nowhere is the potential for overreach more dangerous, however, than in the application of our laws. Using that power to reward friends and punish adversaries marks the dividing line where a president becomes a tyrant — and it is one that Trump seems determined to cross. (our emphasis)The more he feels threatened, the closer we are to him crossing that line. We each need to be prepared to do what our consciences tell us to do when that time comes.
Russian warships seized three Ukrainian naval vessels on Sunday in a narrow waterway that provides access from the Black Sea to the much smaller Sea of Azov near Crimea, ramping up already bitter tensions between the two countries.
On Sunday, Russia dispatched warplanes to patrol the area after the Ukrainian navy tried to send the ships through the Kerch Strait, a waterway with strategic significance for both countries that passes under a newly built Russian bridge.
In May, President Vladimir Putin personally opened the bridge over the Kerch Strait, connecting the Crimea peninsula — which Moscow seized in 2014 — to Russia's mainland.
The 12-mile-long span has been touted by Russia as a claim to Crimea. Ukraine, along with nearly every other country in the world, refuses to recognize that claim.
Russian vessels rammed one of the Ukrainian boats and opened fire on the other two before seizing all three, along with their crews. Ukrainian officials have said six of its sailors were injured; Russia has said three. The boats were towed to a nearby port.Putin knows full well that Puppet Rump isn't going to intervene in any meaningful way to stop Russian aggression. The Putin Puppet will deny, delay and defuse any actions the U.S. government might take to constrain Putin's expansionist designs on Ukraine (see "Sanctions, Trump dragged kicking and screaming"). The 2016 election is the gift that keeps on giving for Putin.
Over the past decade, attackers motivated by right-wing political ideologies have committed dozens of shootings, bombings and other acts of violence, far more than any other category of domestic extremist, according to a Washington Post analysis of data on global terrorism. While the data show a decades-long drop-off in violence by left-wing groups, violence by white supremacists and other far-right attackers has been on the rise since Barack Obama’s presidency — and has surged since President Trump took office.
This year has been especially deadly.Just last month, 13 people died in two incidents: A Kentucky gunman attempted to enter a historically black church, police say, then shot and killed two black patrons in a nearby grocery store. And an anti-Semitic loner who had expressed anger about a caravan of Central American refugees that Trump termed an “invasion” has been charged with gunning down 11 people in a Pittsburgh synagogue, the deadliest act of anti-Semitic violence in U.S. history. [snip]
Terrorism researchers say right-wing violence sprouted alongside white anxiety about Obama’s presidency and has accelerated in the Trump era. Trump and his aides have continuously denied that he has contributed to the rise in violence. But experts say right-wing extremists perceive the president as offering them tacit support for their cause. (our emphasis)"White anxiety." So, it's not "economic anxiety" any more?
Can cable news talk about coming Democratic oversight without automatic warnings of overreach? Indications are no.— Schooley (@Rschooley) November 24, 2018
I’d love to know what they would consider overreach when trying to right two years of obvious overwhelming corruption.— Schooley (@Rschooley) November 24, 2018
There’s a word for people who worry about Democrats being too aggressive against Trump: Republican— Schooley (@Rschooley) November 24, 2018
I’ve never met a Democrat who thought the problem with our politicians is they are too tough.— Schooley (@Rschooley) November 24, 2018
For more than a decade, it’s been clear that there’s a gaping hole in American food safety: Growers aren’t required to test their irrigation water for pathogens such as E. coli. As a result, contaminated water can end up on fruits and vegetables.
After several high-profile disease outbreaks linked to food, Congress in 2011 ordered a fix, and produce growers this year would have begun testing their water under rules crafted by the Obama administration’s Food and Drug Administration.
But six months before people were sickened by the contaminated romaine, President Donald Trump’s FDA – responding to pressure from the farm industry and Trump’s order to eliminate regulations – shelved the water-testing rules for at least four years.
Despite this deadly outbreak, the FDA has shown no sign of reconsidering its plan to postpone the rules. The agency also is considering major changes, such as allowing some produce growers to test less frequently or find alternatives to water testing to ensure the safety of their crops. (our emphasis)E. coli conservatism strikes again! Not surprisingly, there's a Trump fox in the chicken coop:
James Gorny, a former industry lobbyist whom the FDA hired in February to implement produce safety rules, told the group that the agency would not ask anything of growers in the interim.
“The FDA has clearly stated, ‘Keep doing what you’re doing.’ We’re not asking you to do any more at this point in time,” he said.
Gorny’s career is a classic example of the revolving door between federal agencies and the industries they regulate. (our emphasis)Who the hell cares about food safety if it comes at the cost of asking a grower to "do any more at this point in time," like testing water for E. coli? It's just the price you're paying for freedumb!
The Little Free Library went up a week after the inauguration, its wooden walls painted to evoke the White House eight blocks away. But if the book box coincided with President Trump taking office, its tiny plaque pined for the previous administration.
“In Honor of Michelle LaVaughn Robinson Obama,” it said. “Lawyer, writer, and First Lady of the United States.” [snip]
But then the library began attracting more attention for what was written on its outside than what was contained within.
First someone wrote “eyesore” on it, although it wasn’t clear if the word was meant as criticism or merely a tagger’s moniker. Then came the broken window and the missing plaque. [snip]
One neighbor swept out the glass and painted over the graffiti. Another covered the library in patriotic decorations for Election Day, including a smiling portrait of Michelle Obama above an American flag.
But the vandal — or vandals — struck again, tearing it all down.
“Help restore the book exchange,” someone wrote on the broken window.
So someone did, replacing the window with a new one. “Michelle Robinson Obama” appeared again in bronze painted lettering.
Yet it was only a few days before a vandal crossed out her name and christened the library for Trump.Here's the library with the original plaque and the glass broken out:
|(Photo: Michael E. Miller/ Washington Post)|
|(Photo: Michael E. Miller/ Washington Post)|
On Friday, the busiest shopping day of the year, the federal government published a massive and dire new report on climate change. The report warns, repeatedly and directly, that climate change could soon imperil the American way of life, transforming every region of the country, imposing frustrating costs on the economy, and harming the health of virtually every citizen.
Most significantly, the National Climate Assessment—which is endorsed by nasa, noaa, the Department of Defense, and 10 other federal scientific agencies—contradicts nearly every position taken on the issue by President Donald Trump. Where the president has insisted that fighting global warming will harm the economy, the report responds: Climate change, if left unchecked, could eventually cost the economy hundreds of billions of dollars per year, and kill thousands of Americans to boot. Where the president has said that the climate will “probably” “change back,” the report replies: Many consequences of climate change will last for millennia, and some (such as the extinction of plant and animal species) will be permanent. (our emphasis)You can read the report here. It normally would have been released in December, but whoever ordered it released on the busiest shopping day of the year, right after Thanksgiving, clearly wanted to bury it. Imagine that.
“The report is largely based on the most extreme scenario, which contradicts long-established trends by assuming that, despite strong economic growth that would increase greenhouse gas emissions, there would be limited technology and innovation, and a rapidly expanding population.”The Chief Ghoul wanted to add his good brain to the discussion before the report came out. He pulled this out of his fat ass for the enlightenment of his gullible, drooling base several days ago:
Brutal and Extended Cold Blast could shatter ALL RECORDS - Whatever happened to Global Warming?— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 22, 2018
A Turkish opinion columnist on Thursday said the CIA had wiretapped a phone call in which Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman called for the Saudi critic Jamal Khashoggi to be silenced "as soon as possible."
The news, citing unnamed sources and published to Turkey's Hurriyet news website, comes shortly after President Donald Trump on Tuesday issued a frantic proclamation saying the US would stand by Saudi Arabia despite the possibility that Crown Prince Mohammed ordered Khashoggi's killing.Of course, in the face of mounting evidence from his own intelligence service, sociopath and would- be autocrat Donald "Rump" Trump prefers to ignore the obvious in favor of kissing Sawdi heinie, making the whole sordid, murderous mess simply a transactional arrangement ("You keep oil prices down and defense contracts flowing, and you can do whatever you want"; and, likely, "You keep your financial leverage over the Trump Organization and Princeling Jared quiet, and you can do whatever you want").
In Riyadh, they must be laughing at President Trump. In Pyongyang, too, and in Tehran. In Beijing and, of course, in Moscow, they must be laughing until it hurts. They look at Washington and they don’t see a champion of freedom and human rights. They see a preening, clueless clown.
Trump’s reaction — or non-reaction — to the Saudi regime’s brutal killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi is a holiday-season gift to autocrats around the globe. It shows them that if you just shower Trump with over-the-top flattery, feed him some geopolitical mumbo jumbo and make vague promises to perhaps buy some American-made goods in the future, he will literally let you get away with murder. [snip]
After weeks of hemming and hawing, the White House put out a statement Tuesday from Trump making clear that for the murder of Khashoggi — who lived in Virginia, was a permanent U.S. resident and had children who are U.S. citizens — the Saudi regime will face no consequences. Zero. Not even a slap on the wrist. [snip]
In the statement — which is headlined “America First!” — Trump emphasizes what he calls the “record amount of money” that Saudi Arabia is supposedly prepared to spend in the United States. Trump goes on to make a series of false claims. No, there is no agreement for the Saudis to spend $450 billion on U.S. goods, despite Trump’s assertion. No, there is no firm agreement for $110 billion in arms sales; the actual figure is $14.5 billion. No, what Trump reckons as “hundreds of thousands of jobs” are not at stake. And no, the Saudis could not simply decide to buy Chinese or Russian arms, instead.
The truth is that in the U.S.-Saudi relationship, the United States holds all the cards. We don’t need the Saudis’ oil and can easily do without their arms purchases. By contrast, without U.S. military assistance and American-made spare parts, the Saudi armed forces could not function.Far from making our country "great again," Rump continues to weaken it, forsaking allies in favor of tyrants, undercutting our intelligence and law enforcement community, atomizing whatever is left of American moral authority in the world, and making it clear that we're being led by a "clueless clown" who's willing to sell America cheap to the dirtiest thugs in the world -- and then, of course, lie about it.
BLACK FRIDAY: Best sale. Get ACA coverage for 2019 now through December 15. Pre-existing conditions don’t matter.— Andy Slavitt (@ASlavitt) November 23, 2018
8 in 10 will be covered for < $75/month. Many can get great plans at no premium.
Trump cut assisters & advertising so spread the word.https://t.co/qMJsC3POpl https://t.co/Hi8ZFLkHlS
Share Native voices. Please and thank you. https://t.co/cKrT9Nqec6— Broadly (@broadly) November 21, 2018
... Trump told the N.Y. Times last year that Mueller would cross a red line if he started prying into his business affairs. But that's what key people in Trump's orbit worry is happening, tangentially, with the Southern District's investigation of Michael Cohen and his illegal activities while working at the Trump Organization.
... These people have told us they're far more worried about the Cohen investigation in New York than they are about whatever Mueller comes up with.
... When these federal prosecutors struck an immunity deal with [Trump Organization CFO Allen] Weisselberg — the man who knows more about Trump's business affairs than anyone — it suddenly raised the specter of a deep investigative dive into the financial affairs of Trump's business.Just as there have been no leaks from the Mueller investigation, there has been silence from the Southern District of New York. The wheels are turning.
President Donald Trump thinks President Donald Trump is the only real candidate for Time magazine’s 2018 “Person of the Year.”
“I can’t imagine anybody else other than Trump,” Trump boasted to reporters outside the White House on Tuesday. “Can you imagine anybody other than Trump?”How about the historic blue wave, 60 million voters who went to the polls to put some controls on your catastrophic regime and begin the process of healing America?
President Donald Trump’s 'America First' trade policies have led to a 94 per cent cut in US soybean exports to China, forcing farmers in America’s midwest to stockpile crops and hope relief comes before the rot.
After decades in which American soybean farmers were able to build considerable business by selling a huge share of their crop to China, farmers across the US are seeing the largest market destination for one of the country’s largest crops drying up.#MAGA!
President Trump told the White House counsel in the spring that he wanted to order the Justice Department to prosecute two of his political adversaries: his 2016 challenger, Hillary Clinton, and the former F.B.I. director James B. Comey, according to two people familiar with the conversation.
The lawyer, Donald F. McGahn II, rebuffed the president, saying that he had no authority to order a prosecution. Mr. McGahn said that while he could request an investigation, that too could prompt accusations of abuse of power. To underscore his point, Mr. McGahn had White House lawyers write a memo for Mr. Trump warning that if he asked law enforcement to investigate his rivals, he could face a range of consequences, including possible impeachment.
The encounter was one of the most blatant examples yet of how Mr. Trump views the typically independent Justice Department as a tool to be wielded against his political enemies. It took on additional significance in recent weeks when Mr. McGahn left the White House and Mr. Trump appointed a relatively inexperienced political loyalist, Matthew G. Whitaker, as the acting attorney general.Special Counsel Robert Mueller spent a reported 30 hours interviewing McGahn; it is inconceivable he doesn't have this information and hasn't added it to the bulging abuse of power/ obstruction of justice file of banana Republican moron Donald "Rump" Trump.
The WH has issued a statement about "standing with Saudi Arabia."— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) November 20, 2018
On Khashoggi's murder (in part): "Our intelligence agencies continue to assess all information, but it could very well be that the Crown Prince had knowledge of this tragic event—maybe he did and maybe he didn’t!"
In summary, Trump is saying (again): Saudi Arabia is very important for the economy and for national security, so he's standing with them no matter what happened with Khashoggi, which is, in his view, impossible to determine.— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 20, 2018
Imagine being tortured and dismembered and then having the president of the country that is supposed to hold your killers accountable instead repeat their smears against you while he gives them a pass.— Aaron Blake (@AaronBlake) November 20, 2018
That’s what just happened.
This is, hands down, the worst statement I have ever seen come out of a White House & an astonishing abdication of morals, values, principles, & decency. Anyone involved in this policy or the drafting of this travesty of a statement should be deeply ashamed. https://t.co/8oWWE27JGx— Bathsheba Crocker (@shebacrocker) November 20, 2018
An abomination that will define the ignorance, corruption, cruelty and recklessness of this presidency for generations to come:— Samantha Power (@SamanthaJPower) November 20, 2018
Statement from President Donald J. Trump on Standing with Saudi Arabia | The White House https://t.co/jxrX1LA0tP
Trump Covers & Excuses Saudi Murderers. No American is safe overseas now. “(Saudis) say that Jamal Khashoggi was an “enemy of the state” and a member of the Muslim Brotherhood, but my decision is in no way based on that ...” https://t.co/WXuz8ytt7P— Malcolm Nance (@MalcolmNance) November 20, 2018
...[T]he Democratic lead in the U.S. House popular vote now stands at 7.8%, up from 7.7% yesterday, and it may yet inch higher. For comparison purposes, note that in 2010 – which was widely seen as a GOP “wave” cycle – Republicans won the U.S. House popular vote by 6.6%. In 1994, which was seen as a Republican “revolution,” the GOP won the U.S. House popular vote by 7.1%.Unfortunately, decades of Republican gerrymandering in State legislative districts has led to results like this (click on image to enlarge):
About 60 million people turned out to vote for Democrats for the House this year. That is a **crazy** number. (Republicans got 45m votes in the 2010 wave.)— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 18, 2018
And this was sort of missed. Why so many stories about Trump voters in truck stops and not so many about "the resistance"?
The debate over current Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi’s future in House leadership has turned acrimonious and, given the nature of the argument, personal. But if you step back a bit from the infighting, it’s easy to see that Pelosi and her critics are making fundamentally compatible points.
On one side, Democratic Party loyalists and the bulk of the House caucus feel that Pelosi’s earned the job — she’s good at it. She holds the caucus together. She raises astounding sums. She’s arguably better at the job than any other modern speaker. Pointing to her competency, Pelosi and many of her allies accuse her critics of sexism and ageism.
Pelosi critics, meanwhile, don’t generally dispute that she delivers in the House. Their objection boils down to the fact that they do not think Pelosi is a strong communicator who should serve as the face of the party, especially as the newly elected Democratic majority in the House becomes the major locus of resistance to President Donald Trump.
It seems pretty clear at this point that Pelosi is going to triumph and retake the gavel. And as an effective leader, she ought to move to address her real weakness; she should make sure that someone else is in place to serve as the unofficial national party spokesperson — someone who goes on television to argue with Trump and the Republicans. (our emphasis)Pelosi has recently described herself as a "transitional" future Speaker, willing to step down at the end of the upcoming Congress. That she sees herself as a transitional figure indicates she views one of her key roles to be cultivating a new generation of leaders in the House, grooming new legislative leaders to take over when she relinquishes her gavel. With the blue wave election, she has more talent than ever to work with (though we would disagree with some of the prospective candidates for spokesperson Yglesias comes up with).