Sunday, April 25, 2021

A Tale Of Two Poll Narratives

 

Here's the lede from the latest CBS News/YouGov poll (April 21-24, MOE +/- 2.3 pts.):

Approaching one hundred days in the presidency, President Biden maintains fairly strong approval ratings for what look like fairly straightforward reasons: most Americans like the way he's handling the country's top priorities, with especially strong marks on the pandemic and vaccine rollout; his major legislative pieces are popular so far. And then, more stylistically perhaps, a majority of Americans pick words to describe him like "presidential," "focused" and "competent." (our emphasis)

The numbers:



Here's the lede from the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll (April 18-21, MOE +/- 3.5 pts.):

President Biden nears the end of his first 100 days in office with a slight majority of Americans approving of his performance and supporting his major policy initiatives, but his approval rating is lower than any recent past presidents except Donald Trump, with potential warning signs ahead about his governing strategy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Overall, 52 percent of adults say they approve of the job Biden is doing, compared with 42 percent who disapprove...  (our emphasis)

Beyond the discrepancy in the approval number (which we'll assume are the result of the Post's Republican- wired sampling methodology), the framing of the result of the poll is what also stands out in their narrative:  a 10- point gap between approval and disapproval is brushed aside in favor of a lede that reports that it's only a "slight majority" of Americans.  If that 10- point gap was the result of a presidential election, even the Post would have to call it a "landslide."  And, of course, "with potential warning signs ahead about his governing strategy." You can't have a Republican- wired narrative without warnings about trying to accomplish the goals you were elected to accomplish without "bipartisanship!"  So much horseshit in one sentence.

Funny that a paper so dedicated to bringing "light" into its pages that it declares "Democracy Dies in Darkness" is so stubbornly committed to casting that light in a way that diminishes those fighting that very fight.