Sunday, March 31, 2024

We'll Believe It When We See It, But....





An analysis by Politico indicates warning lights are flashing for the Malignant Loser in traditionally red suburbs and exurbs for 2024. Trump fatigue seems to be showing up in formerly solid red districts, according to the analysis:

"It’s true that the hundreds of thousands of GOP primary voters who voted against former President Donald Trump this year were concentrated in highly educated, suburban areas that have swung blue over the past decade.

But a POLITICO analysis shows there’s also a significant bloc of voters who did not want Trump in more exurban, red-leaning counties — the kinds of places that were skeptical of Trump in the 2016 GOP primary and, while largely voting for him in the 2016 and 2020 general elections, have remained somewhat resistant to his takeover of the Republican Party.

The analysis of GOP presidential primary results from more than 1,000 counties shows warning signs for Trump, especially as Republican voters continued to vote against him in closed primaries after he clinched the nomination. And it makes clear that, while independents and crossover voters may have boosted former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley in some primaries, a chunk of true Republican voters still wished for someone else to be the party’s nominee." (our emphasis)

The Biden-Harris campaign is beginning to court the Nikki Haley voters with ads reminding them of the Malignant Loser's hostility to their "disloyalty" and his denigrating comments about her throughout the primaries. His multiple legal problems will also keep the focus on his criminality, as it will in a couple of weeks when the Stormy Daniels hush money / election interference criminal trial starts.

The fact that, as the article notes, Republican voters in closed primaries continue to vote against the Malignant Loser despite his clinching the nomination shows that there's resistance against his candidacy that may carry over to November. The article continues:

"Republicans are banking on the fact that partisanship usually wins out. This is far from the first contentious primary to leave bruised egos and hurt feelings, and usually the vast majority of voters come home to their party’s presidential nominee eventually. By Election Day, voters tend to return to their partisan camps. [snip]

But in a close election fought on the margins, even small shifts matter. Republicans’ success at bringing those voters back into the fold will help determine whether Trump ousts Biden from the White House. Democrats’ ability to draw away even a small percentage of the non-Trump GOP voters — or, at the very least, convince them to stay home — can help keep him there."  (our emphasis)

It's smart to go after the Republicans who are leaning away from the Malignant Loser, if only to cause them to stay home, and denying him their votes. That effort needs to be a priority of the Biden-Harris campaign.

 

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