Poll Watch

 

We occasionally want to take a look at how the Malignant Fascist and his enabling band of misfits, cowards, and loons (a.k.a., the Republican Party/ cult) are faring.  We picked these graphics because they laid out the problem they're facing as they look forward to November.

From YouGov/The Economist today (click to enlarge):

They have cautions:

"Using YouGov’s data, The Economist has projected Mr Trump’s approval rating state by state. As you might expect, approval of Mr Trump is lowest in states that tend to vote for Democrats and highest in those that tend to vote for Republicans. Mr Trump’s voters still overwhelmingly approve of his performance as president. But the projection also shows how dissatisfaction with Mr Trump is widespread even in states that voted for him in 2024. The numbers will make anxious reading for Republicans facing competitive races in this year’s midterm elections."

Here's what the latest eye-popping generic ballot numbers look like:

New - Generic Ballot poll 🔵 Democrats 55% (+15) 🔴 Republicans 40% 🔵 Biggest lead for Democrats 🟤 Trump approval: -20 Atlasintel #A - RV - 5/7

— Political polls (@politicalpolls.bsky.social) May 12, 2026 at 8:02 AM

 

The deteriorating generic ballot numbers, combined with polling on voter enthusiasm (here and here), may be indicating that the anti-MF / MAGAt Republican wave may be more than the MAGAt Republican Jim Crow jiggering with gerrymandering mostly in the old Confederacy can overcome. In keeping with his care-less attitude toward the average Americans' finances (see post below), the MF continues to pursue his sabotaging of the economy and America's national security, to hell with the prospects of his party/ cult in November.   Politico looks at one demographic:

The Supreme Court may argue, in gutting the Voting Rights Act, that they’re creating race-neutral districts. But the practical reality of what this means is staring political leaders and, more to the point, Black voters in the face: white Republicans fracturing African-American districts to unseat mostly Black Democrats so they can elect more white Republicans.

I’ll stick to the raw politics and let others make the self-evident moral case for Black electoral power in a country with our history.

In their rush to grab an extra seat or two, Southern Republicans should consider what may happen to their 2024 gains with Black voters.

Do you think GOP nominees will get 21 percent of Black men, as Trump is estimated to have received in 2024, in future elections when you’re handing Democrats perhaps the easiest racial messaging they’ve had in the post-Civil Rights era? In case you needed a primer, that would be: You can’t trust Republicans, they only want to silence your voice.  [snip]

The images of white Republican legislators wearing MAGA flags to vote, Black lawmakers being jostled by white police officers and the only four African Americans to represent Louisiana in Congress since Reconstruction sitting together pleading for Black districts speak louder than any words. And that was just last week. The ads write themselves.

Which raises the second obvious case for caution. Given Trump’s unpopularity, the price at the pump and the precedent of most every modern midterm, this was already shaping up to be a forbidding election year for Republicans. To pick at the rawest of American wounds as the country marks 250 years would only turbocharge Democratic enthusiasm and turnout.

As if liberals weren’t already eager to vote. Just consider the side-by-side turnout trends in primaries to date this year, which continued this week in Indiana and Ohio...

All of which is to say to keep your focus on winning so big in November -- through message, organizing, turnout -- that (as with the defeat of the MF's boy in Hungary) Democratic control of the House and, increasingly likely, the Senate will be a reality that can't be overturned or denied, no matter the MF's authoritarian urges.