We hesitate to highlight mid- term polls, simply because complacency is our deadly enemy in November (and in all elections from here out). But, in the interest of keeping our spirits up and as a marker of where we are just about 4 months out, we pass along these assessments:
It's a noisy indicator so check back in 2 weeks but the generic ballot is the best it's been in a while for Dems. Doesn't really match the narrative where various issues (Immigration! Incivility! Ocasio-Cortez!) are supposed to be causing problems for 'em. https://t.co/nSPeKmDTNc pic.twitter.com/XTtgLlvLg8— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 10, 2018
G. Elliott Morris has been tracking individual races and the overall probability of the House falling to Democrats. For weeks, up until yesterday, Morris put the Democrats' odds at 63%-37%. Here's where they are today:
If you go to Morris' interactive site, you can over over the various districts for individual projections.
Try to block out the "Democrats in disarray" concern trolling. Resist, organize, register, VOTE!
