We hesitate to highlight mid- term polls, simply because complacency is our deadly enemy in November (and in all elections from here out). But, in the interest of keeping our spirits up and as a marker of where we are just about 4 months out, we pass along these assessments:
It's a noisy indicator so check back in 2 weeks but the generic ballot is the best it's been in a while for Dems. Doesn't really match the narrative where various issues (Immigration! Incivility! Ocasio-Cortez!) are supposed to be causing problems for 'em. https://t.co/nSPeKmDTNc pic.twitter.com/XTtgLlvLg8— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 10, 2018
G. Elliott Morris has been tracking individual races and the overall probability of the House falling to Democrats. For weeks, up until yesterday, Morris put the Democrats' odds at 63%-37%. Here's where they are today:
If you go to Morris' interactive site, you can over over the various districts for individual projections.
Try to block out the "Democrats in disarray" concern trolling. Resist, organize, register, VOTE!
Yeah, the midterms are basically our last hope, kids. Republicans gaining further strongholds will upend our democracy because they are not working for the greater good. More like the greater greed.
ReplyDeleteLet me reiterate that getting people registered and to the polls is key. If you know older people who may have lapsed in their registration, remind them, help them, get them back on the rolls. When the time comes, drive them to voting places if necessary. I'm encouraging my own sons, who range in age from 26-31, to get out the vote in their communities. We know from experience that every vote counts, in spite of interference from Russia and Republican gerrymandering. As an Ohio resident, I've seen gerrymandering firsthand. We have to support the minorities who have been negatively affected by that.
I read the very Rude Pundit, a vulgar but super sharp blogger. I've followed him for years and he's always been outrageous and outspoken and on fire. Today, for the first time, he sounded discouraged. It makes me want to fight harder. I want to push back against the people who would take us back to the stone ages.
Get up, get out and vote!
donnah - may your focus and energy be replicated millions of times across the country. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteThanks!
ReplyDeleteIt isn't even about huge marches or spending a lot of your own money on donations; my husband and I are financially just making it ourselves. Even if people just contact a few others, like neighbors, family members, friends, to encourage them to vote, it will make a difference. All the people who claim to be disillusioned or disinterested or disenfranchised need to know that this is their opportunity to change their outlook, to change their lives.
People are burned out, I get that. But we have to light 'em up again. It matters. It counts.