Democrats and labor had a very good day in yesterday's voting, continuing a trend of overcoming the partisan lean of seats through heavy turnout (especially in suburbs with higher percentages of college educated voters). Some preliminary takes:
Danny O’Connor, win or lose against Troy Balderson, has proven that a +11 Republican district, #OH12, can completely be wiped out by a #bluewave.— Ed Krassenstein (@EdKrassen) August 8, 2018
Republicans should be afraid, very afraid! The wave is coming for you!
There are 68 R-held House seats less Republican than #OH12, per @CookPolitical PVI, and 119 less Republican than the #PA18 seat Dems won in March. Dems need to flip 23 to win House.— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) August 8, 2018
The polls have mostly been very accurate in the 2017/18 cycle so far—and when they've missed, they've lowballed Democrats, not Republicans. https://t.co/tBrVTRYiDI— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 8, 2018
Missouri's right to work law is on the ballot today bc the GOP legislature moved it to August, thinking Democrats/labor would be weaker than if the issue made the November ballot.— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) August 8, 2018
With 94% of precincts reporting, right to work has been rejected by a 2-1 margin.
Democratic women candidates continue to rule:
-- Democrats are also fielding a strong all- female statewide ticket in Michigan.
-- Democrat Laura Kelly will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kansas, possibly facing ultra- right sociopath Kris Kobach.
-- The chair of the House Republican Conference, Cathy McMorris Rodgers, will face Lisa Brown in Washington's Fifth Congressional District in the fall, barely outpolling her in the "top two advance" primary.
The trend continues; the blue wave approaches.
BONUS: More analysis here and here.
The trend continues; the blue wave approaches.
BONUS: More analysis here and here.
2 comments:
The votes for O'Connor weren't enough to topple the Republican, but the people have spoken. As a special election, the end result is another race between these same two candidates in November. Key takeaways include the closeness of the race where Republicans have had the upper hand for decades. It was close enough for a recount, and that is a belwether for future votes, not just here in Ohio, but across the country.
Another issue is the Green Party, which secured a thousand votes. Could those voters have just bucked up and voted for the Democrat instead of siphoning off votes for a dead-in-the-water no-name? They certainly didn't make any headway for their own party, and they once again played the spoilers. Yes, people can vote for whomever they please and I'm not denying their right to vote for Mickey Mouse if they choose, but in tight races where it's literally good vs evil, don't flush your vote down the toilet.
Now it's all about fundraising for our Democratic candidates and support for the party across the country. We may have lost a skirmish, but the war lies ahead and we have to be ready for it.
Right on, donnah!
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