Democrats and labor had a very good day in yesterday's voting, continuing a trend of overcoming the partisan lean of seats through heavy turnout (especially in suburbs with higher percentages of college educated voters). Some preliminary takes:
Danny O’Connor, win or lose against Troy Balderson, has proven that a +11 Republican district, #OH12, can completely be wiped out by a #bluewave.— Ed Krassenstein (@EdKrassen) August 8, 2018
Republicans should be afraid, very afraid! The wave is coming for you!
There are 68 R-held House seats less Republican than #OH12, per @CookPolitical PVI, and 119 less Republican than the #PA18 seat Dems won in March. Dems need to flip 23 to win House.— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) August 8, 2018
The polls have mostly been very accurate in the 2017/18 cycle so far—and when they've missed, they've lowballed Democrats, not Republicans. https://t.co/tBrVTRYiDI— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 8, 2018
Missouri's right to work law is on the ballot today bc the GOP legislature moved it to August, thinking Democrats/labor would be weaker than if the issue made the November ballot.— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) August 8, 2018
With 94% of precincts reporting, right to work has been rejected by a 2-1 margin.
Democratic women candidates continue to rule:
-- Democrats are also fielding a strong all- female statewide ticket in Michigan.
-- Democrat Laura Kelly will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kansas, possibly facing ultra- right sociopath Kris Kobach.
-- The chair of the House Republican Conference, Cathy McMorris Rodgers, will face Lisa Brown in Washington's Fifth Congressional District in the fall, barely outpolling her in the "top two advance" primary.
The trend continues; the blue wave approaches.
BONUS: More analysis here and here.
The trend continues; the blue wave approaches.
BONUS: More analysis here and here.
