Don't let the Republican noise machine and Republican- wired reporters and pundits convince you there wasn't a blue wave last Tuesday! Here's the real narrative still playing out:
Here’s our current characterization of the uncalled Congressional races.— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 10, 2018
Solid D (>=95%): CA-48, CA-49, NM-2
Likely D (~85%): CA-10, NJ-3, NY-22, UT-4
Lean D (~65%): CA-39, CA-45, ME-2, AZ-Sen
Tossup (~50%):
Lean R: FL-Sen
Likely R: GA-7, NY-27, TX-23, MS-Sen (runoff)
Solid R:
Among Senate races held in swing states, Democrats won in PA, OH, MI, WI, MN (x2), NV and VA.— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 9, 2018
FL and AZ are uncalled.
Republicans haven't yet won any Senate races yet in what you'd think of a presidential swing states. MO is the closest but it's quite red now.
In the last two days, Dems' national margin in House votes has crept up from 5.3% to 6.4% and should eventually rise well above 7%. https://t.co/0pm7oW1pFE— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 10, 2018
So, let's get this straight: Rohrabacher & Knight are done in #CA48 & #CA25. Dems already picked up open #CA49. Denham now well behind in #CA10. Walters & Kim hanging on for dear life in #CA45 & #CA39.— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 10, 2018
This could easily turn into a six seat bloodbath for CA Republicans.
And let's not miss what's going on in the Mountain West (h/t Colorado Bureau Chief Shauna)
