Sunday, October 4, 2020

Biden National Lead Jumps To 14 Points In New Poll

It appears mass revulsion of COVID Donnie's performance at the "debate" is the most likely cause of Biden-Harris jumping out to a 14- point lead in this new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll (the poll was taken before COVID Donnie's COVID diagnosis was public). 

Joe Biden’s national lead over President Donald Trump nearly doubled after Tuesday’s presidential debate, with voters saying by a 2-to-1 margin that Biden has the better temperament to be president, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

The poll was conducted in the two days after the unruly and insult-filled Sept. 29 debate, but before Trump tested positive for Covid-19 and was hospitalized Friday at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center.

The Democratic nominee is now ahead of Trump by 14 points among registered voters, 53 percent to 39 percent — up from his 8-point lead in the previous poll before the debate.

That 14-point advantage represents Biden’s largest lead in the NBC News/WSJ poll during the entirety of the 2020 presidential campaign; his previous high was 11 points in July. (our emphasis)

Drilling down a bit, some important tabs:

The biggest declines for Trump in the poll come from seniors (who are now backing Biden by a 62 percent-to-35 percent margin) and suburban women (58 percent to 33 percent).

And men 50 years and older moved from a 13-point advantage for Trump in the pre-debate NBC News/WSJ poll, to a 1-point advantage for Biden in this latest poll.

Seniors, in particular, are very reliable voters, and the gender gap continues to propel Biden-Harris, as COVID Donnie's racist appeals to "suburban" (i.e., "white") women doesn't seem to have landed well.

The usual caveats apply, including vote like Biden-Harris are running neck- and- orange jowl with COVID Donnie. Keep the foot on the gas.

BONUS: A new New York Times / Siena poll shows voters in the critical states of Pennsylvania and Florida were disgusted by COVID Donnie's performance in last Tuesday's "debate": Biden leads in PA by 7 points and in Florida by 5 points. 


No comments: