The good:
Luiz InĂ¡cio Lula da Silva won
Brazil’s presidential election on Sunday, defeating far-right President
Jair Bolsonaro in a heated contest during which the incumbent
repeatedly threatened to dismantle the world’s fourth-largest democracy.
Brazil’s
Superior Electoral Tribunal called the race for da Silva just before 7
p.m. Eastern time, with the leftist holding a narrow 50.83% to 48.17%
lead with more than 98% of votes counted.
The victory will complete a triumphant return
to the top of Brazilian politics for da Silva, the leader of the
leftist Workers’ Party who previously served as the country’s president
from 2003 to 2010, then spent nearly two years in prison on a corruption
conviction that was ultimately annulled.
Four years after Brazilian discontent with a political establishment
that da Silva had long represented helped propel Bolsonaro to victory,
Brazilians turned back to the man they refer to simply as “Lula” in
historic fashion: Bolsonaro is now the first president since Brazil’s
return to democracy in the late 1980s to fail to win a second term.
The
election did not provide a resounding defeat of Bolsonaro, one of a
cadre of right-wing leaders putting democracies at risk worldwide, which
da Silva and many of his supporters had once hoped for. But it was
still a rejection of a leader who had spent his four years targeting
Brazil’s democratic institutions and who seemed likely to use a second
term in office to further erode the country’s democracy.
The bad:
In
2010, Republicans launched a “Fire Pelosi” project — complete with a
bus tour, a #FIREPELOSI hashtag and images of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi
(D-Calif.) engulfed in Hades-style flames — devoted to retaking the
House and demoting Pelosi from her perch as speaker.
Eleven
years later, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) joked that
if he becomes the next leader of the House, it will be hard not to hit
Pelosi with the speaker’s gavel.
And
this year, Pelosi — whom Republicans have long demonized as the face of
progressive policies and who was a target of rioters during the Jan. 6,
2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol — emerged as the top member of
Congress maligned in political ads, with Republicans spending nearly $40
million on ads that mention Pelosi in the final stretch of the
campaign, according to AdImpact, which tracks television and digital ad
spending.
The years of vilification culminated Friday when Pelosi’s husband, Paul, was attacked
with a hammer during an early-morning break-in at the couple’s home in
San Francisco by a man searching for the speaker and shouting “Where is
Nancy? Where is Nancy?” according to someone briefed on the assault.
The ugly:
I am not a conspiracy theorist, but something strange, perhaps even
pernicious, appears to be going on here. On one hand, the Beltway
groupthink—which seems wed to the notion that Democrats are doomed—could
simply be cheerleading for the outcome most of them have been
predicting since the beginning of the year.
That’s what I had started to believe and what University of Florida
professor and elections expert Michael McDonald suggested in a tweet
Wednesday night. After The Economist data journalist G. Elliot Morris tweeted a meme stating the election “always has been” a referendum on the incumbent party, McDonald subtweeted, “If
you want to know why election forecasters are cheering for a Republican
victory, it is because their fundamentals forecasting models say it
will happen.” [snip]
That overly optimistic assessment of GOP chances could be part of a
feedback loop that helps create a self-fulfilling prophecy, as Longwell
suggested. But what if Republicans’ goal is an even more nefarious
effort to prime GOP base voters into believing they've been cheated if
Republicans don’t win big. What if, after all the red-wave hype,
Democrats have a decent night and hold the Senate or, god forbid, have a
really good night and maintain control of both chambers?
If that were to happen, the same Republican lawmakers and
candidates who have spent two years spewing Donald Trump’s baseless
stolen election garbage will be perfectly situated to weaponize the
anger and dismay of their supporters once again. We’ve already seen this
GOP play following 2020. It resulted in a violent coup attempt that
took lives, injured more than 140 police officers, exacted longterm
mental anguish, and continues to rip at the fabric of our country today.
In fact, we haven’t even reached Election Day and already masked
and armed vigilantes are harassing and intimidating voters who are merely trying to exercise their constitutional rights.
The potential for violence is real...
Bottom line: Republican- wired horserace "journalism" is going to get people killed and pave the way for an authoritarian Christofascist government -- unless we ignore them and get out and vote! And get your likeminded family, friends, and neighbors to vote while you're at it. Institutions like the corporate media won't save us; only us mobilizing to vote -- and protecting the vote -- will.